In the just-released Infovest21 manager sentiment survey, 60% of the managers surveyed said their assets increased over the past 12 months while 20% said assets had declined and 20% said assets had stayed the same.
Lois Peltz, president of Infovest21, said, “Almost two-thirds of the managers said in light of the largest managers attracting most of the new assets flowing in, they would continue as is. Over 30% of the managers said they have considered joining a platform while 20% have considered selling part of their firm and 15% have considered merging with another firm. Only 8% have considered closing down.” Multiple responses were accepted.
Managers more optimistic over next three months and 12 months
Managers’ views on most markets turned more positive over the next quarter and next 12-month period. In eight markets, the majority of the managers view those markets as moving up slightly while in three markets, the majority are neutral and in six markets, the majority of managers view the markets as moving slightly lower. Last quarter, the majority of managers expected only three markets moving slightly higher while in neutral in seven markets and down slightly in four markets.
In none of the 14 markets asked about, did the managers feel the market would make new highs or move up significantly over the next three months.
In eight markets – the Pound, NYMEX Oil*, Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P500, DJ Stoxx, 10-Year Treasury*, FTSE 100 Stock Average and Comex Gold – the majority of managers felt the market would be “up slightly” over the next three months.
In six markets, the majority of managers felt the markets would be “down slightly” over the next three months. In rank order, they are: Euro, Yen, 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate*,10-Year Treasury*, DJ Corporate Bond Index, and Nikkei 225 Stock Average.
In three markets, the majority of managers feel the markets will be neutral. These include: Consumer Price Index, NYMEX Oil*, and 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate*. Last quarter, the majority of managers felt seven markets would be neutral over three months.
*tied
Looking out over the next 12 months, manager sentiment has also improved. The majority of managers did not feel any market would make new highs or move “up significantly.” In ten markets, the majority of managers felt the markets would move “up slightly” while in four they were neutral and in one market, the perception was that the market would move “down slightly” and in one other market, the view was the market would move “down significantly.”
Infovest21 conducts the manager survey on a quarterly basis. This quarter, 64 managers responded.
Monday, October 4, 2010
Infovest21 Manager Survey: 31% of managers consider joining a platform while 20% consider selling part of their firm
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Top Pension Funds By Assets ($B)
- California Public Employees 214.6
- Federal Retirement Thrift 210.6
- California State Teachers 147.2
- New York State Common 138.4
- Florida State Board 118.7
- General Motors 110.3
- New York City Retirement 107.3
- Texas Teachers 95.9
- AT&T 89.6
- New York State Teachers 88.5
- IBM 78.9
- Wisconsin Investment Board 74.5
- New Jersey 71.8
- North Carolina 70.5
- General Electric 70.3
- Ohio Public Employees 69.6
- Boeing 68.9
- Ohio State Teachers 62.9
- Washington State Board 61.5
- Michigan Retirement 57.2
- Oregon Public Employees 55.3
- Pennsylvania School Employees 54.7
- Verizon 51.8
- Virginia Retirement 50.4
- Ford Motor 48.8
- University of California 47.1
- Georgia Teachers 46.6
- Minnesota State Board 46.5
- Massachusetts PRIM 45.4
- Lockheed Martin 43.8
- Alcatel Lucent 41.3
- Colorado Employees 36.6
- United Nations Joint Staff 35.4
- Los Angeles County Employees 35.2
- Illinois Teachers 34.1
- Maryland State Retirement 32.7
- Northrop Grumman 31.9
- Pennsylvania Employees 31.1
- Teamsters, Western 30.3
- Tennessee Consolidated 30.3
- Bank of America 28.5
- Exxon Mobil 28.0
- Alabama Retirement 27.6
- United Technologies 27.5
- Chrysler 26.6
- National Railroad 25.3
- Missouri Public Schools 24.6
- Utah State Retirement 24.5
- South Carolina Retirement 24.5
- DuPont 24.4
- United Parcel Service 23.6
- Arizona State Retirement 23.6
- Connecticut Retirement 23.6
- Raytheon 22.8
- Texas Employees 21.9
- Citigroup 21.2
- Teamsters, Central States 21.2
- Iowa Public Employees 2.6
- Nevada Public Employees 20.6
- Illinois Municipal 20.6
- Hewlett Packard 20.1
- JPMorgan Chase 19.9
- Chevron 19.4
- Honeywell 18.9
- Mississippi Employees 18.9
- Dow Chemical 18.7
- State Farm 17.5
- Alaska Retirement 17.4
- Procter & Gamble 17.1
- FedEx 16.9
- Kaiser 16.9
- Shell Oil 16.8
- American Airlines 16.7
- 3M 16.2
- Wells Fargo 16.2
- San Francisco City & County 15.9
- United Methodist Church 14.8
- Prudential 14.6
- Texas County & District 14.4
- Texas Municipal Retirement 14.1
- BP American 14.1
- Indiana Public Employees 13.9
- Georgia Employees 13.9
- World Bank 13.8
- Illinois State Universities 13.7
- Los Angeles Fire & Police 13.2
- Caterpillar 13.2
- Wachovia 13.2
- Kentucky Teachers 13.2
- Louisiana Teachers 13.1
- Illinois State Board 12.9
- Delphia 12.9
- National Electric 12.6
- Johnson & Johnson 12.6
- Eastman Kodak 12.5
- Pfizer 12.5
- General Dynamics 12.3
- PG&E 11.9
- ConocoPhillips 11.9
- Kentucky Retirement 11.7
- Exelon 11.6
- Kansas Public Employees 11.6
- Deere 11.6
- Qwest 11.3
- New Mexico Public Employees 11.0
- Kraft Foods 10.9
- International Paper 10.9
- Alcoa 10.8
- Siemens USA 10.7
- Ohio Police & Fire 10.7
- MetLife 10.7
- Southern Co 10.5
- Chicago Teachers 10.3
- Federal Reserve Employees 10.1
- Idaho Public Employees 9.9
- Hawaii Employees 9.8
- New York State Deferred Comp 9.8
- Los Angeles City Employees 9.7
- Ohio School Employees 9.6
- Arkansas Teachers 9.6
- Maine State Retirement 9.6
- Wal-Mart Stores 9.5
- Weyerhaeuser 9.5
- Consolidated Edison 9.5
- Koch Industries 9.5
- US Steel 9.4
- Abbott Laboratories 8.9
- Episcopal Church 8.9
- 1199SEIU National 8.9
- Motorola 8.8
- Operating Eng. International 8.8
- Xerox 8.8
- Altria 8.7
- PepsiCo 8.4
- Delta Air Lines 8.4
- Missouri State Employees 8.3
- Eli Lilly 8.3
- Oklahoma Teachers 8.2
- National Rural Electric 8.1
- Boilermaker-Blacksmith 8.1
- Northwest Airlines 8.0
- Sears Holding 8.0
- Aetna 7.9
- New Mexico Educational 7.9
- New York City Deferred Comp 7.9
- Electrical Ind, Joint Board 7.9
- Intel 7.9
- Nebraska Investment Council 7.8
- Indiana Teachers 7.8
- JC Penney 7.8
- Louisiana State Employees 7.8
- Merck 7.8
- IAM National 7.7
- Tennessee Valley Authority 7.5
- San Diego County 7.5
- West Virginia Investment 7.5
- National Grid 7.5
- South Dakota 7.5
- Glaxo Smith Kline 7.3
- Rhode Island Employees 7.3
- Allstate 7.2
- Bristol-Myers Squibb 7.2
- Delaware Public Employees 7.1
- Dominion Resources 7.1
- ITT 7.0
- Orange County 7.0
- Montana Board of Investments 6.9
- Merrill Lynch 6.9
- Ohio Deferred Comp 6.8
- Los Angeles Water & Powere 6.8
- Walt Disney 6.8
- Presbytarian Church 6.7
- Time Warner 6.7
- First Energy 6.6
- Cook County Employees 6.6
- Supervalu 6.6
- UFCW Industry, IL 6.5
- Bank of New York Mellon 6.4
- CBS 6.4
- American Electric 6.4
- Oklahoma Public Employees 6.4
- Target 6.3
- Duke Energy 6.2
- Hartford Financial 6.2
- Unisys 6.2
- Liberty Mutual 6.2
- General Mills 6.2
- FMR 6.2
- Arizona Public Safety 6.1
- IMF 6.1
- Reynolds American 6.0
- Anheuser-Busch 6.0
- Sacramento County 6.0
- Southern California Edison 5.9
- Wyeth 5.9
- Los Angeles County Deferred 5.8
- Morgan Stanley 5.8
- Wyoming Retirement 5.8
- Goodyear Tire & Rubber 5.7
- Source: Pensions & Investments, as of Sept 2008
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