Sunday, November 28, 2010

Infovest21's Special Research Report: Acquisition of minority stakes is most likely M&A approach for hedge funds while mergers between smaller funds of funds is expected

The pace of hedge fund mergers and acquisitions transactions quickened in 2010, particularly those involving minority stakes. Transactions this year have generally been more strategic compared to the transactions done in 2008 which were generally done at distressed prices and for survival. Investment bankers describe the tone as cautious and careful.

Freeman & Co predicts the number of alternative manager deals will outpace those of traditional manager deals in 2010 for the first time as firms consolidate, are acquired by larger strategic firms or are spun out by banks facing regulatory issues. Smaller asset managers are being acquired by larger alternative managers and other traditional managers/financial institutions that have the benefit of distribution, brand name and/or size and scale.

Through June 30, 2010, alternative asset management deals were up 108% to 52 transactions year-to-date compared with 25 transactions for the same time a year ago. Freeman projects that alternative manager deals should exceed 100 this year with acceleration in the second half of the year due to pressure from the Volcker Rule and other international regulatory initiatives.

In comparison, traditional manager deals totaled 31 in the first half of 2010 and may only reach 70-75 for the year.

For hedge fund managers, acquisitions of minority stakes is the most likely expected approach going forward. In the fund of funds community, mergers between small funds of funds is expected, say investment bankers.

High profile transactions

This year, three high profile transactions were Man’s purchase of GLG, RBC’s acquisition of BlueBay and Credit Suisse’s minority stake of York Capital. Man’s offer price was 55% higher than GLG’s share price, Man paid 12.5x GLG’s 2010 EBITDA. RBC paid a 29.3% premium for BlueBay.

Buyers are prepared to pay up for growth opportunities. If you look at multiples, recent transactions suggest 10-12x EBITDA versus EBITDA’s long term range which has been 9-11x. Distressed deals during the crisis were at 5x EBITDA, says Manuel Arrive at Fitch Rating.

Investment bankers emphasize that each transaction needs to be examined on a case-by-case basis. EBITDA/multiples can’t be extrapolated from these large transactions to other hedge funds due to the size and scale. “None of them are the same size or scale as Man/GLG. Man gained access to all of GLG products and clients and can cross-sell their products. Many reasons exist to why that value was what it was but it doesn’t fit conventional thinking of just putting a multiple on it,” says one boutique investment banker.

Public stock prices of hedge funds are a good background reference to start with. Asset size, stickiness of assets, number of clients, performance, number of distribution channels and geographic range are some of the factors to consider in evaluating each case, says Eric Weber of Freeman & Co.

Excerpt from Infovest21 Special Research Report - M&A/Consolidation in the Hedge Fund Community

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Top Pension Funds By Assets ($B)

  • California Public Employees 214.6
  • Federal Retirement Thrift 210.6
  • California State Teachers 147.2
  • New York State Common 138.4
  • Florida State Board 118.7
  • General Motors 110.3
  • New York City Retirement 107.3
  • Texas Teachers 95.9
  • AT&T 89.6
  • New York State Teachers 88.5
  • IBM 78.9
  • Wisconsin Investment Board 74.5
  • New Jersey 71.8
  • North Carolina 70.5
  • General Electric 70.3
  • Ohio Public Employees 69.6
  • Boeing 68.9
  • Ohio State Teachers 62.9
  • Washington State Board 61.5
  • Michigan Retirement 57.2
  • Oregon Public Employees 55.3
  • Pennsylvania School Employees 54.7
  • Verizon 51.8
  • Virginia Retirement 50.4
  • Ford Motor 48.8
  • University of California 47.1
  • Georgia Teachers 46.6
  • Minnesota State Board 46.5
  • Massachusetts PRIM 45.4
  • Lockheed Martin 43.8
  • Alcatel Lucent 41.3
  • Colorado Employees 36.6
  • United Nations Joint Staff 35.4
  • Los Angeles County Employees 35.2
  • Illinois Teachers 34.1
  • Maryland State Retirement 32.7
  • Northrop Grumman 31.9
  • Pennsylvania Employees 31.1
  • Teamsters, Western 30.3
  • Tennessee Consolidated 30.3
  • Bank of America 28.5
  • Exxon Mobil 28.0
  • Alabama Retirement 27.6
  • United Technologies 27.5
  • Chrysler 26.6
  • National Railroad 25.3
  • Missouri Public Schools 24.6
  • Utah State Retirement 24.5
  • South Carolina Retirement 24.5
  • DuPont 24.4
  • United Parcel Service 23.6
  • Arizona State Retirement 23.6
  • Connecticut Retirement 23.6
  • Raytheon 22.8
  • Texas Employees 21.9
  • Citigroup 21.2
  • Teamsters, Central States 21.2
  • Iowa Public Employees 2.6
  • Nevada Public Employees 20.6
  • Illinois Municipal 20.6
  • Hewlett Packard 20.1
  • JPMorgan Chase 19.9
  • Chevron 19.4
  • Honeywell 18.9
  • Mississippi Employees 18.9
  • Dow Chemical 18.7
  • State Farm 17.5
  • Alaska Retirement 17.4
  • Procter & Gamble 17.1
  • FedEx 16.9
  • Kaiser 16.9
  • Shell Oil 16.8
  • American Airlines 16.7
  • 3M 16.2
  • Wells Fargo 16.2
  • San Francisco City & County 15.9
  • United Methodist Church 14.8
  • Prudential 14.6
  • Texas County & District 14.4
  • Texas Municipal Retirement 14.1
  • BP American 14.1
  • Indiana Public Employees 13.9
  • Georgia Employees 13.9
  • World Bank 13.8
  • Illinois State Universities 13.7
  • Los Angeles Fire & Police 13.2
  • Caterpillar 13.2
  • Wachovia 13.2
  • Kentucky Teachers 13.2
  • Louisiana Teachers 13.1
  • Illinois State Board 12.9
  • Delphia 12.9
  • National Electric 12.6
  • Johnson & Johnson 12.6
  • Eastman Kodak 12.5
  • Pfizer 12.5
  • General Dynamics 12.3
  • PG&E 11.9
  • ConocoPhillips 11.9
  • Kentucky Retirement 11.7
  • Exelon 11.6
  • Kansas Public Employees 11.6
  • Deere 11.6
  • Qwest 11.3
  • New Mexico Public Employees 11.0
  • Kraft Foods 10.9
  • International Paper 10.9
  • Alcoa 10.8
  • Siemens USA 10.7
  • Ohio Police & Fire 10.7
  • MetLife 10.7
  • Southern Co 10.5
  • Chicago Teachers 10.3
  • Federal Reserve Employees 10.1
  • Idaho Public Employees 9.9
  • Hawaii Employees 9.8
  • New York State Deferred Comp 9.8
  • Los Angeles City Employees 9.7
  • Ohio School Employees 9.6
  • Arkansas Teachers 9.6
  • Maine State Retirement 9.6
  • Wal-Mart Stores 9.5
  • Weyerhaeuser 9.5
  • Consolidated Edison 9.5
  • Koch Industries 9.5
  • US Steel 9.4
  • Abbott Laboratories 8.9
  • Episcopal Church 8.9
  • 1199SEIU National 8.9
  • Motorola 8.8
  • Operating Eng. International 8.8
  • Xerox 8.8
  • Altria 8.7
  • PepsiCo 8.4
  • Delta Air Lines 8.4
  • Missouri State Employees 8.3
  • Eli Lilly 8.3
  • Oklahoma Teachers 8.2
  • National Rural Electric 8.1
  • Boilermaker-Blacksmith 8.1
  • Northwest Airlines 8.0
  • Sears Holding 8.0
  • Aetna 7.9
  • New Mexico Educational 7.9
  • New York City Deferred Comp 7.9
  • Electrical Ind, Joint Board 7.9
  • Intel 7.9
  • Nebraska Investment Council 7.8
  • Indiana Teachers 7.8
  • JC Penney 7.8
  • Louisiana State Employees 7.8
  • Merck 7.8
  • IAM National 7.7
  • Tennessee Valley Authority 7.5
  • San Diego County 7.5
  • West Virginia Investment 7.5
  • National Grid 7.5
  • South Dakota 7.5
  • Glaxo Smith Kline 7.3
  • Rhode Island Employees 7.3
  • Allstate 7.2
  • Bristol-Myers Squibb 7.2
  • Delaware Public Employees 7.1
  • Dominion Resources 7.1
  • ITT 7.0
  • Orange County 7.0
  • Montana Board of Investments 6.9
  • Merrill Lynch 6.9
  • Ohio Deferred Comp 6.8
  • Los Angeles Water & Powere 6.8
  • Walt Disney 6.8
  • Presbytarian Church 6.7
  • Time Warner 6.7
  • First Energy 6.6
  • Cook County Employees 6.6
  • Supervalu 6.6
  • UFCW Industry, IL 6.5
  • Bank of New York Mellon 6.4
  • CBS 6.4
  • American Electric 6.4
  • Oklahoma Public Employees 6.4
  • Target 6.3
  • Duke Energy 6.2
  • Hartford Financial 6.2
  • Unisys 6.2
  • Liberty Mutual 6.2
  • General Mills 6.2
  • FMR 6.2
  • Arizona Public Safety 6.1
  • IMF 6.1
  • Reynolds American 6.0
  • Anheuser-Busch 6.0
  • Sacramento County 6.0
  • Southern California Edison 5.9
  • Wyeth 5.9
  • Los Angeles County Deferred 5.8
  • Morgan Stanley 5.8
  • Wyoming Retirement 5.8
  • Goodyear Tire & Rubber 5.7
  • Source: Pensions & Investments, as of Sept 2008